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'Katy, Bar the Door': Why Pelosi's Trip to Taiwan is Fraught With Risk of Military Escalation_我的网站

A | "Remember what happened in 1983? Two days after 241 Marines were blown up in Lebanon, the USA invaded tiny Grenada. Overnight, the previous headlines disappeared. I think we are seeing the same today. NATO is losing badly in Ukraine and it’s going to be a long winter for the West. Pounding its imperial chest with Taiwan is now what the MSM is reporting, much less so Ukraine," suggests Jeff J. Brown, author of "The China Trilogy," editor at China Rising Radio Sinoland, and curator of the Bioweapon Truth Commission.,If Pelosi travels to Taiwan, this would be the first time a high-ranking US politician visits the place in 25 years. Last time it was Newt Gingrich, then-speaker of the US House of Representatives, who arrived on the island in 1997, ignoring the Chinese leadership's discontent.,"I said firmly, 'We want you to understand, we will defend Taiwan. Period,'" Gingrich told the press at the time, as quoted by The New York Times. However, Clinton administration officials made it clear that Gingrich "was speaking for himself.",Likewise, it appears that Pelosi's apparent visit to Taiwan is not in line with the Biden administration's China policy, argues Francesco Sisci, a Beijing-based China expert, author, and columnist.,"American politics is not set like an omniscient Leviathan," the China expert says. "The Congress, the Senate, the executive all move according to different agendas which do not often coincide and are in conflict with one another. The issue is that there is a growing anti-Beijing sentiment in America and this has sometimes bursts which aren’t fully sorted out. I believe the visit is an expression of a sentiment, rather than of a clear cut plan.",According to CNN, Pelosi's initiative has triggered concerns both in the Biden administration and the Pentagon, with US national security officials "quietly working to convince House Speaker Nancy Pelosi of the risks of her potential trip to Taiwan." While in 1997 Beijing and Washington managed to solve the dilemma, this time the PRC leadership might opt for a harsher response, CNN and The Guardian have warned.,US Military Expansion in Asia-Pacific is Part of Plan to Take on Russo-China Tandem, Scholar Says28 July, 16:15 GMT,Washington has been fanning US-Sino tensions for quite a while, starting with Donald Trump's tariff war against Beijing, which has yet to be halted by Joe Biden. In a candid phone conversation, Chinese President Xi Jinping warned his American counterpart against "playing with fire" over Taiwan and explained that any involvement would ultimately backfire on the US.,"A Chinese general has publicly declared that Pelosi’s visit could entail a military response from Beijing," Brown says. "China’s Ministry of Foreign Affairs has repeated this. Now, with Xi’s 'You get burned playing with fire' metaphor, I think there would be a military response.",Senior Colonel Tan Kefei, a spokesperson for China's Ministry of Defense, stated on July 26: "If the US insists on taking its own course, the Chinese military will never sit idly by, and it will definitely take strong actions to thwart any external force's interference.",Tan highlighted that Pelosi's visit to Taiwan would "seriously violate the one-China principle" and "seriously harm China's sovereignty and territorial integrity, and seriously damage the political foundation of China-US relations.",Meanwhile, Brown surmises that China's hypothetical response "might include a declared no-fly zone." However, there is a "much more elegant option," according to the author:,"[China could] take over Taiwan’s Kinmen Island, which is only two kilometers from Xiamen, off China’s Fujian Province coast. It would take only a few hours. I do not think Beijing will strike any US targets, unless attacked first.",North Korea Ready to Mobilize Nuclear Deterrence Forces at Any Moment - Kim Jong Un28 July, 01:13 GMT,The scholar also does not rule out that the Democratic People's Republic of Korea's (DPRK) remark, made earlier this week, that Pyongyang is “fully prepared” for any military conflict with the United States is no coincidence.,"Does Biden know that China and nuclear-armed North Korea have had a mutual defense treaty since 1961?" Brown asks rhetorically. "NATO is being bled dry in Ukraine and it is imperial folly, hubris or geopolitical brinkmanship to think it can fight East Asia’s biggest and most powerful military, which is only 200 km from Taiwan.",For his part, Sisci believes that the PRC could opt for an asymmetrical non-military response. Still, the unfolding crisis is complicated by the fact that Washington is already involved in a confrontation with Russia, raising questions as to whether the US is capable of taking on Moscow and Beijing at once.,"I don’t think that either China or the US wants an escalation," says Sisci. "The talk between Biden and Xi Jinping was to avoid an escalation.",Brown also believes that Beijing's warnings have been heard by Washington.,"Pelosi’s visit to Taiwan has been bandied about by Washington for months now," he says. "A supposed Covid-19 infection scuttled the first trial balloon. After Biden’s phone call yesterday with Xi, I suspect another American 'postponement' is likely to occur. If not, then 'Katy, bar the door!'"。冀时新闻报道智慧课堂、AI助教、个性化的学习路径……随着人工智能应用场景不断拓展，传统教学模式正被打破。

B | 系列报道《我的AI新搭档》，今天一起走进课堂看一看。本台记者杨晨曦：还记得大气运动、地转偏向力这些抽象又难懂的地理知识点吗？以前老师在黑板上画的时候，是不是很难形成一个立体的空间思维？最后我们还是要靠死记硬背。那么，像这种传统地理课堂的学习痛点该如何破解呢？今天我们就来到了衡水中学，看看在AI的赋能下，这里的课堂发生了哪些改变？眼前这个能360度旋转、动态演示的3D地球，是90后地理老师朱月和AI技术老师花了一周时间"磨"出来的。学科老师梳理教学思路、明确功能需求，AI技术老师借助大模型制作专属立体课件，将课本里那些抽象难懂的空间变化直观呈现，让学生更容易理解吸收。衡水中学学生李瑾瑜：我觉得像它那个可以自由旋转、可以自己选的模式让我印象最深刻。衡水中学学生郑慧心：我觉得它让那种课本上的知识就是变得活起来了，不仅提高了这个趣味性，然后还提高我们学习的效率。衡水中学地理老师朱月：在做这个的时候也花费了很大的心思，比如说我们的这个灯光、太阳光线，我们要展示的内容是什么、呈现的效果是怎样的，技术老师也给了很大的一个支持。这样生动的交互式课件，是依靠各班标配的智慧黑板呈现的，它也是人工智能走进课堂的重要入口。智慧黑板接入了学校自主开发的AI应用与创新平台，课前老师可以借助星火教师助手生成课件，课中能支持互动展示、录制课堂实况；课后，通过AI自动分析这节课的目标达成度、学生互动情况，可以为老师生成一份"课堂报告"。衡水中学地理老师朱月：我们可以观看我这节课的一个学习目标的达成度，学生的一个反馈情况或者是我们课堂上师生的一个互动情况，在我下一次课的时候，我就能够更加精准地，也能够个性化地对于学生来做一些辅导。课堂教学提质的同时，人工智能也帮老师省去了大量机械重复的课后工作。有着18年教学经验的英语老师，依靠校内的智能批改系统，彻底改变了传统英语作文的批改模式。衡水中学英语老师黄玉春：平时我们要批50多份作文的话，至少得几个小时的时间，但是现在几秒钟就能出来了，而且对学生的词汇、语法，它的批改准确率还是很高的。比如说我们班两个同学，它这个AI阅卷21分最高分，老师自己在阅卷的过程中，确实也是达到了23分、22.5分这样的一个维度，对于师生来说都是一种提质增效吧。

C | 智能批改系统会从语法、篇章结构等多个维度给出修改建议，还能为每位学生定制专属写作小练，实现精准培优补弱。衡水中学学生胡茁彤：就是一些很普通的单词，它能给我反馈一个更高级的词汇，来让这个人物的形象更加立体化，感觉自己作文的内容有了明显的一个优化。

D | 作为我省生成式人工智能应用试点学校，衡水中学已经实现AI教学全覆盖，学校教师AI工具使用率达100%，备课效率提升40%，批改效率提升45%。推动人工智能与教育深度融合，省教育厅联合多部门印发了加快推进教育数字化实施方案和"人工智能+教育"行动计划，不断深入推进国家智慧教育平台全面深化应用试点，目前累计注册用户超1049万，用户规模稳居全国第三。